Saturday, May 8, 2010

Do You Want To Know A Secret?

Predicting the UK election outcome is a tricky business, but I've never been afraid to stick my neck out so, for the benefit of my four faithful followers plus friendly stalker, here goes . . .

All three major parties are likely to be disappointed by the outcome: Labour (29% ±) because they stand to lose about 90 seats and, with it, their majority; the Tories (36% ±) because, despite gaining about 100 seats, they are still unlikely to have an absolute majority; and the Lib Dems (23% ±) because there's no way they will get anywhere near the 100 or so seats that "experts" have been predicting.

Indeed, the only happy party will be the Green Party because they have real chances of getting their first ever elected Member of Parliament. Possibly in a southern coastal resort with a pebbly beach.

We can expect an overall turnout somewhere in the 65% region.
Watch this space! And remember: you heard it here first.


  1. Thanks for your predictions, it is refreshing to find someone who is prepared to disagree with the 'experts' about these things.

    I was just wondering, do you anticipate any problems with people being able to vote?

  2. Well, I'm no 'expert', either, mickelous, but I think it's safe to say that we can expect long queues at polling stations in towns or cities beginning with L: Leeds, Liverpool, Lewisham, Lower Thame, etc.

    I've even heard reports of one elderly gentleman from Thame preferring to vote by post rather than risk a 10-minute queue at the local primary school. Rumour has it said gentleman will be voting for TICKS, the Thame Independent Coffee Kings Society.